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Daria Kasatkina vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kasatkina vs Paolini analysis and find out who is favored!
Daria Kasatkina vs Jasmine Paolini Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 3 Paolini
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kasatkina has won 41.91% of points on their second serve, while Paolini has won 47.99%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 58.25% of their opponent's second serve points, while Paolini has won 56.7%. The same stats for first serve returns are 40.37% and 42.1% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Kasatkina has saved 53.77% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Paolini has saved 54.05% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Kasatkina has won 64.71% of matches played (W/L 44/ 24), with Paolini winning 64.38% (W/L 47/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 131/ 55), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114). Paolini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 211/ 123), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
- Player level: In the last year, Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10), where as Paolini has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.62% of matches (W/L 17/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Kasatkina winning 2 times and Paolini being victorious 3 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Kasatkina winning 6 and Paolini winning 7. The last match between Kasatkina and Paolini was at the Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo, 21-07-2023, Quarterfinals, Clay with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-4 4-6 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:44:40.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Kasatkina and Paolini have played a deciding set 3 times, with Kasatkina winning 1 times and Paolini 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Kasatkina winning 0, and Paolini 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 109.99 while Paolini has played against players with an average rank of 120.03.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kasatkina has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Paolini has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Kasatkina has converted 48.32% of breakpoint opportunities, and Paolini has converted 52.96% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
14
Rank
8
High
27
Age
R
Plays
2
Total3
0
Hard0
2
Clay3
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
7
Rank
7
High
28
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
Form
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
64% (365-206)
Career Total W/L
58% (377-268)
63% (20-12)
YTD W/L
67% (22-11)
$8,149,976
Career Prize Money
$3,430,226
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
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| stats | Daria Kasatkina | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 7 |
| Games Won | 69 | 65 |
| Aces (Total) | 5 | 2 |
| DFs (Total) | 13 | 8 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:44:40 | 1:44:40 |
| 1st Serve % | 67% (211/314) | 69% (282/410) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 54% (113/211) | 51% (144/282) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 41% (42/103) | 47% (60/128) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 33% (26/78) | 62% (26/42) |
| Return Points W% | 50% (206/410) | 51% (159/314) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 33% (1/3) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 0% (2/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (2/0) | 33% (3/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
Stats 
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
75%
(
78 of
104)
1st Serve %
77%
(
63 of
82)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
53%
(
41 of
78)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
34 of
63)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
47%
(
49 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
40 of
82)
95
Total Points Won
91
|
||||
| 5-7 6-4 6-4 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61%
(
94 of
154)
1st Serve %
56%
(
58 of
103)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
3
51%
(
48 of
94)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
26 of
58)
43%
(
26 of
60)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
19 of
45)
69%
(
11 of
16)
Break Points Won
29%
(
10 of
34)
52%
(
80 of
154)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
58 of
103)
132
Total Points Won
125
|
||||
| 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve %
65%
(
41 of
63)
1
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
23 of
33)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
17 of
41)
29%
(
5 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
35%
(
6 of
17)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
44%
(
22 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
35 of
63)
63
Total Points Won
50
|
||||
| 7-6(6) 6-3 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
78%
(
69 of
89)
1st Serve %
72%
(
57 of
79)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
55%
(
38 of
69)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
30 of
57)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
47%
(
42 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
39 of
79)
86
Total Points Won
82
|
||||
| 6-1 4-6 10-7 | |||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Daria Kasatkina | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 63% (20/12) | 67% (22/11) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 57% (44/33) | 64% (49/28) |
| Games Win/Loss | 52% (377/355) | 55% (398/323) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 60% (12/8) | 67% (12/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 67% (8/4) | 71% (10/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Aces Total | 43 | 40 |
| DFs per game | 0.4 | 0.15 |
| DFs Total | 143 | 51 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:50:42 | 1:37:54 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 123.56 | 140.3 |
| 1st Serve % | 68% (1667/2440) | 70% (1597/2295) |
| 1st Serve W% | 60% (997/1667) | 62% (986/1597) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 42% (324/773) | 48% (335/698) |
| BPs Won% Total | 48% (158/327) | 53% (152/287) |
| Return Pts W% | 47% (1162/2489) | 47% (1102/2346) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (2/2) | 82% (9/2) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (6/6) | 67% (10/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (12/4) | 43% (3/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 63% (20/32) | 67% (22/33) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 63% (5/8) | 71% (5/7) |
| Deciding Set W% | 69% (9/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| 1st set W, W | 84% (19/16) | 100% (19/19) |
| 1st set W, L | 16% (19/3) | 0% (19/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 31% (13/4) | 21% (14/3) |
Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Peyton Stearns
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61%
(
42 of
69)
1st Serve %
74%
(
48 of
65)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
57%
(
24 of
42)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
45%
(
31 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
35 of
65)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Magdalena Frech
61%
(
38 of
62)
1st Serve %
80%
(
51 of
64)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
79%
(
30 of
38)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
24 of
51)
38%
(
9 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
34 of
64)
73
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
53%
(
33 of
62)
1st Serve %
69%
(
40 of
58)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
64%
(
21 of
33)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Tatjana Maria
71%
(
51 of
72)
1st Serve %
51%
(
32 of
63)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
59%
(
30 of
51)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
14 of
32)
38%
(
8 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
10 of
31)
53%
(
8 of
15)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
47%
(
34 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
39 of
63)
77
Total Points Won
58
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Daria Kasatkina
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve %
77%
(
71 of
92)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
38 of
71)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
88
Total Points Won
74
|
3-6 6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
77%
(
67 of
87)
1st Serve %
62%
(
48 of
77)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
66%
(
44 of
67)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
25%
(
5 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
44%
(
38 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
77)
85
Total Points Won
79
|
7-6(5) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Cristina Bucsa
66%
(
71 of
108)
1st Serve %
80%
(
90 of
113)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
2
51%
(
36 of
71)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
43 of
90)
46%
(
17 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
71%
(
10 of
14)
51%
(
55 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
59 of
113)
112
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
36 of
71)
69
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65%
(
62 of
96)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
17 of
51)
50%
(
10 of
20)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
57 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
96
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Jasmine Paolini Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Jasmine Paolini
62%
(
26 of
42)
1st Serve %
67%
(
31 of
46)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
69%
(
18 of
26)
1st Serve Won
39%
(
12 of
31)
69%
(
11 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
13 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
61%
(
28 of
46)
57
Total Points Won
31
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Mirra Andreeva
80%
(
48 of
60)
1st Serve %
61%
(
28 of
46)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
67%
(
32 of
48)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
16 of
28)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
6 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
35%
(
21 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
24 of
46)
63
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Elena Rybakina
70%
(
65 of
93)
1st Serve %
67%
(
58 of
87)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
3
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
34 of
58)
64%
(
18 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
11 of
29)
44%
(
7 of
16)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
41%
(
38 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
42 of
87)
97
Total Points Won
83
|
6-2 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Elina Avanesyan
73%
(
62 of
85)
1st Serve %
81%
(
65 of
80)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve Won
43%
(
28 of
65)
43%
(
10 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
47%
(
8 of
17)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
46%
(
39 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
46 of
80)
92
Total Points Won
73
|
4-6 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Bianca Vanessa Andreescu
66%
(
38 of
58)
1st Serve %
73%
(
57 of
78)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
34%
(
20 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
41 of
78)
79
Total Points Won
57
|
6-1 3-6 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Hailey Baptiste
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve %
51%
(
42 of
82)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
50%
(
14 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
19 of
40)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
41%
(
31 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
38 of
82)
82
Total Points Won
75
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Saville
69%
(
45 of
65)
1st Serve %
75%
(
51 of
68)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
9
56%
(
25 of
45)
1st Serve Won
43%
(
22 of
51)
35%
(
7 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
41%
(
7 of
17)
Break Points Won
63%
(
5 of
8)
51%
(
33 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
60%
(
41 of
68)
73
Total Points Won
60
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Mayar Sherif
Player
Jasmine Paolini
70%
(
79 of
113)
1st Serve %
73%
(
77 of
106)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
57%
(
45 of
79)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
41 of
77)
41%
(
14 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
48%
(
54 of
113)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
51 of
106)
110
Total Points Won
109
|
7-6(4) 2-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Jasmine Paolini
66%
(
56 of
85)
1st Serve %
77%
(
51 of
66)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
57%
(
32 of
56)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
26 of
51)
41%
(
12 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
63%
(
5 of
8)
48%
(
41 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
34 of
66)
78
Total Points Won
73
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Caroline Garcia
76%
(
32 of
42)
1st Serve %
66%
(
39 of
59)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
88%
(
28 of
32)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
50%
(
5 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
7 of
20)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
21%
(
9 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
62
Total Points Won
39
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
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Kasatkina Vs Paolini Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Kasatkina are available here and Paolini photos here.
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